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Saturday, December 27, 2008

Madoff Must Reveal All Assets by New Year’s Eve, Judge Rules

By Erik Larson

Dec. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Investors looking to recoup some of the $50 billion they lost in Bernard Madoff’s alleged Ponzi scheme may get a better idea what the New York financial adviser has left when he is forced to reveal his assets to regulators.

Madoff, 70, must provide a detailed list of all investments, loans, lines of credit, business interests, brokerage accounts and other holdings to the Securities and Exchange Commission by New Year’s Eve, a federal judge ruled. Madoff’s foreign business units were given until Jan. 26 to provide a similar accounting.

The list is to include all assets held for his “direct or indirect benefit,” U.S. District Judge Louis Stanton in Manhattan wrote in a Dec. 18 order in the SEC lawsuit against Madoff. The list must describe “the source, amount, disposition and current location of each of the items listed.”

A catalog of Madoff’s assets may reveal targets for angry investors including hedge funds and charities seeking the return of their funds. New York-based Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC began liquidating after his Dec. 11 arrest for securities fraud. Madoff, under house arrest in his Manhattan apartment, faces as much as 10 years in prison and a $5 million fine if convicted.

Several investors filed proposed class-action, or group lawsuits against Madoff and his firm following FBI allegations that he admitted the business was “one big lie.”

Investment Firms

Investment firms that did business with Madoff have also been sued. New York University said it lost $24 million in investments managed by Madoff, according to a lawsuit filed Dec. 23 in New York state court in Manhattan against fund manager J. Ezra Merkin and his Gabriel Capital LP fund and Ariel Fund Ltd. The school alleged Merkin invested NYU’s money with Madoff without telling investors or performing proper due diligence.

In a separate proposed class-action against Merkin, who is also the chairman of auto lender GMAC LLC, Harry Susman, a lawyer for The Calibre Fund, alleged he misled investors by claiming to have put investor money in a “diverse portfolio of securities.”

Gabriel Capital LP, a $1.5 billion fund, plans to liquidate due to Madoff losses, Merkin said in a Dec. 18 investor letter. The fund lost 39 percent this year through Nov. 30, mirroring the drop in the S&P 500 Index. Merkin told Ariel investors it also plans to wind down in light of the losses from the Madoff fraud, according to the NYU lawsuit.

Merkin’s Lawyer

Merkin’s lawyer, Andrew Levander, didn’t immediately return a call seeking comment.

Madoff’s firm was the 23rd-largest market maker on Nasdaq in October, handling an average of about 50 million shares a day, according to exchange data. It took orders from online brokers for some of the largest U.S. companies, including General Electric Co. and Citigroup Inc.

Federal prosecutors alleged Madoff engaged in a classic Ponzi scheme in which he would pay off old investors with the money of new investors.

His lawyer, Ira Sorkin, didn’t return a call seeking comment.

Madoff, who hasn’t formally responded to the securities fraud charge, is due in court Jan. 12, unless he is indicted before then. Prosecutors and defense lawyers may also agree to postpone the court date.

In a Dec. 18 interview, Sorkin said Madoff’s company is cooperating with the government. Madoff met with prosecutors earlier this month, according to people familiar with the case.

Asset List

A list of Madoff’s assets has yet to be filed, according to electronic federal court records. It’s unclear whether such an accounting will be made available to Madoff investors.

SEC spokesman John Nester didn’t return a call or e-mail seeking comment after business hours. SEC lawyer Alexander Vasilescu didn’t return an e-mail after business hours.

The NYU lawsuit added to a growing list of alleged victims of Madoff, including Liliane Bettencourt, the world’s wealthiest woman and the daughter of L’Oreal SA founder Eugene Schueller; Spanish billionaire Alicia Koplowitz; U.S. filmmaker Steven Spielberg; Nobel laureate Elie Wiesel; and Yeshiva University.

New York-based money manager Thierry Magon de La Villehuchet, who may have lost $1.4 billion of client funds invested with Madoff, was found dead in his Manhattan office Dec. 23 in what police said was an apparent suicide.

The New York City Medical Examiner said Dec. 24 it had completed an autopsy of de La Villehuchet, a co-founder and chief executive officer of Access International Advisors, and that results will be returned next week.

Bettencourt, the L’Oreal heiress, invested part of her $22.9 billion fortune with Madoff through de La Villehuchet, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The case is Securities and Exchange Commission v. Madoff, 08-cv-10791, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan).

To contact the reporter on this story: Erik Larson in New York at elarson4@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: December 27, 2008 00:01 EST

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British Pound Outlook Remains Bearish as Growth Forecasts Weaken Further

Friday, 26 December 2008 14:41:32 GMT

Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

The British Pound continued its move towards parity against the Euro and slid lower against the U.S. Dollar ahead of the New Year, which suggests that investors remain bearish against the currency as market participants widely expect the Bank of England to lower borrowing costs even further in January.

gbp_122608

British Pound Outlook Remains Bearish as Growth Forecasts Weaken Further

Fundamental Outlook for British Pound: Bearish

- 3Q GDP Revised to -0.6% from -0.5%
- British Pound Tests Record Low Against Euro

The British Pound continued its move towards parity against the Euro and slid lower against the U.S. Dollar ahead of the New Year, which suggests that investors remain bearish against the currency as market participants widely expect the Bank of England to lower borrowing costs even further in January. Nevertheless, financial uncertainties paired with the ongoing downturn in the housing sector is likely to stoke increased selling pressures for the currency over the near-term as the economic calendar continues to reflect a dour outlook for growth.

The lowest interest rate since 1951 highlights the extraordinary efforts taken on by the central bank, and market participants anticipate policymakers to ease policy further as they do everything possible within their authority to mitigate the downturn in the economy. A Bloomberg News survey shows that 27 of the 38 economists polled anticipate BoE Governor Mervyn King and Co. to lower the benchmark interest rate by 50bp to 1.50% at the January 8th policy meeting. Meanwhile, weakening fundamentals have certainly dragged on the British Pound throughout the second half of the year, and the event risks scheduled for the following week could weigh on the currency as growth prospects deteriorate at a rapid pace. The BoE’s housing equity withdrawals index is projected to fall to -3.3B from -2.8B in the second quarter as a result of tumbling home prices paired with tightening lending practices, while consumer credit is expected to decline to 0.6B from 0.8B in October. As credit conditions remain far from normal, private sector spending, which is one of the biggest drivers of growth, is likely to remain subdued throughout the coming months, and would only heighten the downside risks for growth going forward.

From a technical standpoint, the British Pound is expected to remain range-bound in the week ahead, and should hold major trends against its currency counterparts over the near-term. Accordingly, as investors round-trip their open positions for the year, thin markets are unlikely to impel a drastic shift in trader sentiment, and the Sterling is likely to face headwinds ahead of the event risks scheduled for the coming week.

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Performance Report - Mar 5, 2009

How to make consistent profits in forex trading – it’s easier than you think

One of the most amazing thing I have found out is that, most amateur Forex traders believe that the results of the Forex market is not random, yet they can't seems to produce consistent profits. Shouldn't a nonrandom market produce inconsistent results and a random market produce consistent results?

Every professional Forex traders understand that every individual trade is a unique even, where the outcome is random relative to the last trade or the next trade. New Forex traders must know that in each individual trade, there will be a random, unpredictable distribution between winning and losing. But on a collective basis just the opposite is true. If a large number of trades are executed, patterns will emerge that produce a consistent, predictable, and reliable outcome.

Now, let us get into deeper psychology into how new Forex traders can succeed in producing consistent results by applying the following simple beliefs. Firstly, they need to know that it requires 2 levels of beliefs to be aligned in order to produce consistent results in a random situation.

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